today I traded the following matches:
Safina v MakarovaPre match odds: Safina: 1.06, Makarova: 17.50
It was not good trading. I was every time one the wrong side, but the good thing was, that I recognized this and I scratched the trade. I decided to stay away from this match.
Safina v Makarova 6-7, 6-3, 6-0
Dokic v Chakvetadze
Pre match odds: Dokic: 1.55, Chakvetadze: 2.8
I expected this match to be a three setter with a little advantage for Dokic, because she played in front of the home crowed. Dokic won the first set 6-4, but I did not layed her, because stats of Chakvetadze were not that good.
When score was 6-5* and Chakvetadze was serving I applied a free lay (or free back) on Dokic Back 50€@1.36.
Here are the stats before this game:
Odds would only move to 1.55, if Chakvetadze could hold her serve, so I was risking 5-6€ to gain 18€, if Dokic makes the break and wins the match. This in mind with 48% receiving points of Dokic, I think it was a good decision.
Chakvetadze won this service game relative easily with two points on second serve (stats showed, that she only won 1/7 points on 2nd serve during the 2nd set so far).
I made it each way red, when Chakvetadze equalized to 6-6 and did not gamble in the tie break.
It was a good trade, although I lost money.
Dokic v Chakvetadze 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
During the first three days I did not have a really good trade with a decent profit, but also I did not have a big loss so far.
Hopefully my patience pay off.
Stats so far:
Total loss today: -5.00
Total profit this month: +37.99