tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34261998024223206242024-03-14T04:54:39.772+01:00Lay YourselfStarted with trading on Betfair and developed to use self created betting bots to make consistantly money.Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.comBlogger545125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-65907496556906040042012-04-27T14:23:00.002+02:002012-04-27T14:27:09.161+02:00Value Betting ToolHello folks,<br /><br />long time since my last blog post. I am still doing fine on the horse racing betting front. I am not resting on my laurels so I am always looking for other betting systems, too.<br />I did a lot of research and I analyzed different tipster services to get an idea of their selection process. <br /><br />For me, a value better, it was really surprising that a lot of them published their selections the evening before the day of racing.<br />At that time most of the bookmakers did not have offered prices on the races, except for the big meetings, so how could they determine <br />if a horse is a selection?<br /><br />When I analyzed historical data I tried to create a rating for every horse in every race. This rating is converted into fair odds, so these fair odds represent the true chance of the horse winning the race.<br />If now a bookmaker offers higher odds than the fair odds the system calculated, the selection is marked as a bet. <br />So there are days with many selections and there are days without any selection.<br /><br />From my observations of the horse racing markets I realised very soon that a lot of odds moving takes place in the space of time between 11:00 - 12:00 BST. So this is the time my new system is working in.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">How does it works:</span><br />Every day in the space of time between 11:00 - 12:00 BST I log into my system and wait to get the bets highlighted. If the system <br />marks a horse as a bet I am placing the bet as suggested. If the bookmaker already lowered the price I skip that selection.<br />I am using stakes of EUR100.00 so this one hour is really busy for me, because I need to get matched at the suggested price. <br />Mostly I have to split my stake on various bookmakers.<br />When I am in UK I always place bets at the shops. Easy as that.<br /><br />If you are interested just have a look at<br /><br /><a href="http://www.valuebettingtool.com">http://www.valuebettingtool.com </a><br /><br />Please sign up with bonus code "layyourself". Just add bonus code "layyourself" in sign up message and you will get a subscription discount of 10% every month. <br /><br /><p>Have a nice weekend!<br /></p><p>Cheers, Loocie</p>Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-67386022331704020322012-02-12T13:32:00.002+01:002012-02-12T13:42:31.152+01:00It´s ALL about the odds, NOTHING else mattersHi,<br /><br />Today I found an interview from 2009 with a pro gambler. Check this out:<br /><br /><a href="http://www.progambler.co.uk/an-interview-with-pro-gambler-russell-clarke/">An Interview With Pro Gambler Russell Clarke</a><br /><br />He won't tell you his betting secrets, so no need to be disappointed. Nobody ever will give his edge away for free or low cost, but if you want to have an interesting read about a pro's mindset, give it a go. <br /><br />Cheers,<br /><br />LoocieLoociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-34946535129071283972012-01-26T10:50:00.005+01:002012-01-26T12:27:13.749+01:00Free Lay OpportunityHi,<br /><br />trading on tennis can offer some great opportunities. Todays semi final of Australian Open between Feder and Nadal offered such a situation. When Feder was 3-0* up with a single break he traded at 1.28/1.29 which is quite the odds at the end of the set. When Federer won the 1st set 7-6 he traded at 1.31/1.32.<br /><br /><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-n_u3qrMoK2Y/TyEie8S0_zI/AAAAAAAABdE/o5XDpb9vX0U/s1600/free_lay.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 264px; height: 320px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-n_u3qrMoK2Y/TyEie8S0_zI/AAAAAAAABdE/o5XDpb9vX0U/s320/free_lay.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5701876518204276530" /></a><br /><br />Even if you did not green up you still did not lose money.<br />Be prepared for those opportunities.<br /><br />Cheers, LoocieLoociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-86651614761295692542011-08-15T11:05:00.000+02:002011-08-15T11:16:52.289+02:00Rheinland-Pokal<p>Hello everybody,</p> <p>yesterday Muxor and me visited German horse racing here in our home city Cologne. We are not experts when it comes to German horse racing, but the principle is the same: Back the winner! :-)</p> <p>We had a few punts with small money and here you can see how we did:</p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/-EXpZILx47Qc/TkjkARuUyJI/AAAAAAAABc4/8ENmbjFLwpM/s1600-h/IMAG0239%25255B3%25255D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="IMAG0239" alt="IMAG0239" src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/-aMBY88IpmEY/TkjkA1vfQII/AAAAAAAABc8/JfV5DdZYRb0/IMAG0239_thumb%25255B1%25255D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="346" height="207" /></a>   <br /><em><font size="1">(Click on image to enlarge)</font></em></p> <p>Overall we had a funny afternoon. <br />In September there will be another meeting here in Cologne and I am pretty sure we will visit the meeting again.</p> <p>Cheers,</p> <p>Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-14962366445894621802011-06-19T15:22:00.001+02:002011-06-28T14:20:51.020+02:00Offer<p>Hello folks, </p> <p>This month is really a pleasure. So far June is the most profitable month ever. Currently I am looking at a total profit of <strong><font color="#00ff00">384.27 points this month</font></strong> and there are still a lot of days to raise the monthly pl to a new record! </p> <p>I am making good profits with the system and I have already a few friends using the system, too. <br />There are still a few places left for other people using the system, so I am looking for people to use my system as well. </p> <p>If you want to use the system you need to meet the following requirements:</p> <ul> <li>You have a professional attitude as this is one of the best betting systems but also one of the most time consuming </li> <li>You are able to place bets during working hours every day </li> <li>You can start with a reasonable bank (and money you can afford to lose – at least GBP 200) </li> <li>You are not addicted to gambling </li> <li>You have the mental strength to survive losing streaks </li> <li>You will have to pay a monthly fee depending on your winnings </li> </ul> <p><strong>UPDATE 1:</strong></p> <p><strong>Sorry for any misunderstandings. From your replies I see I need to clarify some misunderstandings.</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>You can not buy the system, you can only get access to the suggested bets of the system</strong> </li> <li><strong>The system is no trading system on Betfair, it suggests bets at the bookmakers</strong> </li> <li><strong>You have to make sure, that you can bet on UK bookmakers like Bet365, WillHill, etc from your country</strong> </li> </ul> <p><strong>UPDATE 2:</strong></p> <p><strong>Thank you very much for this overwhelming numbers of responses. I am really sorry, but I could not add all the people who sent me an email, because I need to protect prices for the subscribers.</strong></p> <p><strong>If there are again new places left I will contact you again, if you sent me an email already.</strong></p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-10926738473119435852011-04-20T12:37:00.001+02:002011-04-20T12:37:53.060+02:00Happy Birthday<p>Hello everybody,</p> <p>Exactly a year ago we started with our semi automated betting bot, so today it is its first anniversary.</p> <p>What an exciting year it has been. The first three days produced a loss of <strong>-1.67pts, -4.25pts and -22.80pts</strong>. I was a little disappointed then, but I stuck to it and the next two days produced a profit of <strong>2.25pts</strong> and <strong>55.33pts</strong>.</p> <p>There have been good days and also not that good days, but right now with all the experience I got during the year those bad periods does not affect my mood anymore.</p> <p>Let’s have a look at the stats of the first year:</p> <p><strong>Total PL <font color="#00ff00">2,230.94pts</font> <br />Total days 297 <br />Days in Profit 176 <br />Days in Loss 121 <br />Max daily Profit <font color="#00ff00">73.58pts</font> <br />Max daily Loss <font color="#ff0000">-43.50pts</font> <br />Avg PL per Day <font color="#00ff00">7.51pts</font> </strong></p> <p><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/Ta63eD0hGwI/AAAAAAAABcY/269QfBKiaSY/s1600-h/profit%5B2%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="profit" alt="profit" src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/Ta63esRtt7I/AAAAAAAABcc/V_hdmTUBsyc/profit_thumb.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="183" /></a> </p> <p>The most challenging part of the year was the bank building process. From 05/29/2010 to 08/02/2010 (60 days!) we only managed to make 7.74 pts. We checked again and again our software and luckily <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/07/bug.html" target="_blank">we could identify a bug</a> and solve it. <br />This really helped, so August 2010 produced a total profit of <strong><font color="#00ff00">305.59pts</font></strong>. <br />I do not want to have another bank building process anymore. Building a decent betting bank requires a lot of discipline and patience. I think this is the most challenging part for every beginner of professional betting or trading when starting with a small bank. If you lose five quid you might think that is not that much, but percentage wise (if it is 1% of your betting bank) it can be costly. If you lose 5 quid of your bank of 500 quid's – no problem. If your bank is 5000 quid’s you will lose 50 quid’s which might be a problem. Therefore I am always thinking in points rather than in Euro. <br />Tracking your betting or trading results helps you to stay focused. I am lucky, because I do not have to track my results manually, it is done by the software automatically, but having a look at the graph of the betting bank on a daily basis helps a lot to stay focused.</p> <p>So what to expect from the next year? I will be really pleased to produce the same profit again. No chase, no run for random numbers and goals, just making profit. It will be interesting to see how the performance will be from today until 08/02/2011, because the bug is eliminated and I am pretty sure the results for this period in 2011 will be much better than in 2010.</p> <p>Another important thing I need to mention is ‘motivation’. I stay motivated by listening to certain music when the profit comes in. So when I had a really good day I always enjoy those two songs: <br /></p> <div style="padding-bottom: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; float: none; padding-top: 0px" id="scid:5737277B-5D6D-4f48-ABFC-DD9C333F4C5D:69b3c68a-2580-4769-997b-717947dfcc7c" class="wlWriterEditableSmartContent"><div id="627be26a-b6f8-4c8b-8d18-d43f4afd43d8" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: inline;"><div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bw6afsYABYA" target="_new"><img src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/Ta63fMV_etI/AAAAAAAABcg/A0xnr3KB3mw/videoebe9512ca1dc%5B4%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" style="border-style: none" galleryimg="no" onload="var downlevelDiv = document.getElementById('627be26a-b6f8-4c8b-8d18-d43f4afd43d8'); downlevelDiv.innerHTML = "<div><object width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/Bw6afsYABYA&hl=en\"><\/param><embed src=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/Bw6afsYABYA&hl=en\" type=\"application/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><\/embed><\/object><\/div>";" alt=""></a></div></div></div> <p> </p> <div style="padding-bottom: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; float: none; padding-top: 0px" id="scid:5737277B-5D6D-4f48-ABFC-DD9C333F4C5D:43ae2cb0-1221-4b51-b7ae-0727cf59a062" class="wlWriterEditableSmartContent"><div id="7ee60e29-64d7-4aaf-bd0c-670473fd5a6c" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: inline;"><div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh-bDwi99RU" target="_new"><img src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/Ta63faDvj7I/AAAAAAAABck/_cF51COcDmw/videobfc2ae0f2203%5B4%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" style="border-style: none" galleryimg="no" onload="var downlevelDiv = document.getElementById('7ee60e29-64d7-4aaf-bd0c-670473fd5a6c'); downlevelDiv.innerHTML = "<div><object width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/Sh-bDwi99RU&hl=en\"><\/param><embed src=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/Sh-bDwi99RU&hl=en\" type=\"application/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><\/embed><\/object><\/div>";" alt=""></a></div></div></div> <p>I start the day always with this one: <div style="padding-bottom: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; float: none; padding-top: 0px" id="scid:5737277B-5D6D-4f48-ABFC-DD9C333F4C5D:1a55607b-c9c6-417d-aa30-e28a2a195ae6" class="wlWriterEditableSmartContent"><div id="28f6ef67-03b7-403e-80be-2f8fb5ba1bf9" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: inline;"><div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_xkWSvT8-ZI" target="_new"><img src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/Ta63f0LV4jI/AAAAAAAABco/XFE4nQh2xLY/videoe0790fe9f923%5B4%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" style="border-style: none" galleryimg="no" onload="var downlevelDiv = document.getElementById('28f6ef67-03b7-403e-80be-2f8fb5ba1bf9'); downlevelDiv.innerHTML = "<div><object width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/_xkWSvT8-ZI&hl=en\"><\/param><embed src=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/_xkWSvT8-ZI&hl=en\" type=\"application/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><\/embed><\/object><\/div>";" alt=""></a></div></div></div> </p> <p>I think this technique comes from <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neuro-linguistic_programming" target="_blank">Neuro-linguistic programming</a> and is called “<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anchoring_(NLP)" target="_blank">Anchoring</a>”. Give it a try.</p> <p>That’s it for now. <br />I now I promised you a report about the trading seminar a few weeks ago in Manchester. You will get it, but not today ;-)</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-55301361053495303322011-03-10T12:14:00.001+01:002011-03-10T12:14:18.497+01:00Update<p>Hello everybody,</p> <p>I am still alive! A really long time since my last blog post. There are two reason for not posting that often in the moment: Firstly time is really limited. I am still working from 9 to 5 and doing the horses as well, so every free minute is appreciated. <br />The second one is that I do not have to say anything interesting. I am posting my profit/loss figure on a daily bases on the right side via twitter, just to keep you updated. <br />The horses are doing really well. March is already with <strong><font color="#00ff00">96.48 points</font></strong> in profit and with Cheltenham in front, I am really excited what March in total will bring. <br />On 2nd of April Muxor and me will attend a <a href="http://www.tradingfootball.eu/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&layout=item&id=12&Itemid=11" target="_blank">football trading seminar</a> in Manchester. We will arrive on Friday and we will stay there until Sunday. It is the first time that we get in touch in real life with other traders and I am really excited about other people’s background, motivation and ideas about sports trading and betting.  <br />That’s it so far. I will keep you updated about the trading seminar and maybe other stuff, too ;-)</p> <p>Cheers,</p> <p>Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-28453137416781308182010-12-11T18:36:00.001+01:002010-12-11T18:36:51.365+01:00Betfair Bot: Basic Functionality<p>Hi,</p> <p>This is the 2nd post of the series “<a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/08/creating-betfair-bot-with-c.html" target="_blank">Creating A Betfair Bot With C#</a>”.</p> <p>In the <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/08/betfair-bot-environmentsetup.html" target="_blank">first blog post of this series</a> I mentioned all the tools and software I am using when working on betting bots based on .NET C#. <br /> <br /><strong>Before I will start I just want to mention that you are using the given information and software on your own risk. I am not responsible for any problems and issues.</strong></p> <p>Today we will step into development and I will write about the following functionalities every bot of mine has:</p> <ol> <li>Logging </li> <li>Local Database </li> <li>Saving Settings in Registry </li> <li>Bot Handling (Start/Stop) </li> </ol> <p>You will also see the structure of the bot, but most of the classes are not yet finished, especially the ones which are related to the Betfair API.</p> <p>It might be useful to download the Visual Studio 2005 project first and look at the source code and the descriptions in this series simultaneously.</p> <p align="center"><strong><a href="http://rapidshare.com/files/436247544/2010-12-11-MyBot.zip" target="_blank">DOWNLOAD-LINK Betfair Betting Bot Project</a></strong></p> <p>I will now go through a few classes and files first and give information about important things to consider:</p> <p><u>Program.cs <br /></u>This file contains the main entry of our application which means if you start the application the first call is the so called “main method”. Generally this main method calls the first windows form. <br />To make things easier I always add the following line as the first command in the main method:</p> <p><font face="Courier">AppDomain.CurrentDomain.UnhandledException += <br />                new UnhandledExceptionEventHandler(CurrentDomain_UnhandledException); <br /> <br /></font></p> This means we are listening to the event “UnhandledException”. So if we forgot to insert some exception handling anywhere in our application we do not have search why our application throws exceptions and crashes. We will get a message box with some debugging information and we can locate the error much faster, especially in threading related source code. In addition we need to implement a method “CurrentDomain_UnhandledException” which will show the message box. This is already done.  <p><u>GUI.frmMain.cs <br /></u>This is our main windows form with all the controls we need to show market information or any information we want. To make it easier I only will place a few controls for debugging information. <br /> <br /><u>GUI.frmLogin.cs <br /></u>This windows form is the form we are using for login into Betfair. Currently there is no functionality implemented. I will update this form in the next article, which is related to Betfair API.</p> <p><u>Data.Betfair.BetfairContainer.cs <br /></u>This class will handle all the connectivity to Betfair API. Currently it is not yet implemented, but I added it already to give you an overview of the structure of the bot. <br />I also already added web references to Betfair API. We will need this in the next article.</p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TQO2rssajDI/AAAAAAAABbw/8EzJs5xzxMI/s1600-h/web_references3.jpg"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto" title="web_references" alt="web_references" src="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TQO2r6_G_eI/AAAAAAAABb0/ZyK9-VLnfeo/web_references_thumb1.jpg?imgmax=800" width="185" height="207" /></a><font size="1"> (web references in project explorer)</font></p> <p>I only added a reference to global service (for login functionality etc) and a reference to UK exchange (for getting prices, markets etc). If your bot should also work for AUS markets you need to add a reference to AUS exchange too.</p> <p><strong>1. Logging Functionality <br /></strong>When developing an application it is always useful to know what is going on in your application. Therefore I am always creating logging functionality in every application I am working on. The logging in this bot consists of two parts: <br /><u>a) General logging into a console: <br /></u>This is done via method “LogIntoConsole” in form frmMain. <br />Use the call </p> <p><font face="Courier New">GUI.frmMain.LogIntoConsole(“Testmessage”); </font></p> <p>to log something into console. This logging is working non-blocking, that means even if you log many large messages or variable contents the user interface is still responsive.</p> <p><u>b) Logging into a log file: <br /></u>This is done via LoggingTask. To perform a log into a log file use call </p> <p><font face="Courier New">GUI.frmMain.LogIntoFile(“Testmessage”); </font></p> <p>There will be created a log file in the path where the executable is. For each day you will get another file, so the file name contains a part of the date, something like “debug_11_30.log” for 30th November. This logging is done in a background thread, so again if you are logging huge data the application is still responsive an not blocking.</p> <p><strong>2. Local Database <br /></strong>Using local databases is really important, especially if you want to be able to load data into your bot from external data sources. For example you can create a bot which places bets on horse racing depending on various criteria from Adrian Massey’s Rating from <a title="http://www.adrianmassey.com/28/rating.php" href="http://www.adrianmassey.com/28/rating.php">http://www.adrianmassey.com/28/rating.php</a>. <br />You can let your bot scrap the webpage or save it manually into MS Excel and save it as comma separated value file and then let the bot read the file and place the bets for you, if certain criteria fit your strategy. For saving data like this you can use a local database in your bot. Therefore I have created a SQL Manager which does all the work for you: <br /><u>Database.SQLManager.cs: <br /></u>For demonstration how to work with a database I added a SQL table called “Settings” for saving settings for the bot. So you can save settings like stake, max odds, min odds etc and every time you start the bot all the settings will be loaded from the database. <br />I only created a sample of this SQL Manager. To get your settings working you need to add some functionality. The same, if you want to save horse racing data. The steps to add something like this are:</p> <p>1. Write a method for creating the SQL table like I did in method <font face="Courier New">SQLManager.createSettingTable(). <br /></font>2. Call this method in <font face="Courier New">SQLManager.Initialize().</font> So now your table will be created at start of application, if it is not yet present. <br />3. Write a method for saving objects into database like I did in method <font face="Courier New">SQLManager.SaveSetting(string key, string value). <br /></font>4. Write a method for getting objects from database like I did in method <font face="Courier New">SQLManager.GetSetting(string key).</font> <br /> <br />So now you can save settings for example like this anywhere in the bot with <br /><font face="Courier New">SQLManager.SaveSetting(“stake”, “10.00”); <br /></font>and get it back with  <br /><font face="Courier New">SQLManager.GetSetting(“stake”); <br /></font> <br />I am not using a database for saving settings, but just want to give an example. I am saving settings via Registry:</p> <p><strong>3. Saving Settings in Registry <br /></strong>This is done via class Data.CRegistry.cs. All settings will be saved in HKEY_CURRENT_USER\Software\MyBot. <br />I added a few methods in CRegistry for demonstration. So with this example you can save stake size, min odds and max odds. If you want to add further settings, just copy one of the methods and modify it accordingly. Saving stake sizes for example within registry call <font face="Courier New">CRegistry.saveStakeSize(10.00);</font> and get it from registry call double stakeSize = CRegistry.getStakeSize();.</p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TQO2sZEKMjI/AAAAAAAABb4/RqSZTrww1Ks/s1600-h/registry3.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="registry" alt="registry" src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TQO2svRFfxI/AAAAAAAABb8/Eyq2j-YvomM/registry_thumb1.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="202" /></a><font size="1">(Example: Settings saved in registry)</font></p> <p align="left"><font size="1"></font></p> <font size="1">It is up to you to decide whether you choose database or registry for saving settings.</font> <p align="left"><strong>4. Bot Handling <br /></strong>What do I mean with “bot handling”? When using an automated betting system it is always useful to start and stop the bot. Therefore I created an enumeration called <font face="Courier New">BotStatusEnum</font>, which indicates whether the bot is running or not. <br />Another important thing to consider is, that starting the application via clicking on the executable does not automatically mean, that the bot is running. To start the bot itself you need to click on start button in the top left menu. If the bot then is running you can stop it by clicking on stop button. I also added a closing form handler which means if the bot is running and you click on the X on top right unintentionally, you will always get a message that the bot is still running an can not be closed. The is really important if your bot trades automatically on Betfair. So you can implement rules for automatically closing trades on application exit to keep your liability as small as possible.</p> <p align="left">Wow, what a huge blog post. Hopefully I did not miss any information. If so, feel free to drop an email or leave a comment. In the next two blog posts of this series we will step into Betfair API handling. This will be really interesting, especially login/logout, market handling (add and remove markets), getting prices and placing bets.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-56087441287611492872010-11-28T13:07:00.001+01:002010-11-28T13:12:11.297+01:00Betting in the Zone<p>Hi folks,</p> <p>Long time since the last blog post. I am still there and working on the betting front. <br />Generally, when betting related bloggers publish blog posts less frequently than earlier there are two common reasons: Their betting/trading is not successful as expected or everything is fine. Luckily I am one of the latter one. <br />To give you an idea about the results of the last months here is an overview:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Sept: <font color="#00ff00">+225.29 pts</font></strong> </li> <li><strong>Oct: <font color="#00ff00">+370.52 pts</font></strong> </li> <li><strong>Nov so far: <font color="#00ff00">+73.92 pts</font></strong> </li> </ul> <p>All the profit comes from betting on horse races with the semi automated version of HorstBecker. <br />The change of the weather conditions and the change into the jump season had an effect of our results for November. During the first week we were 50 pts down but our confidence is still big enough to handle those down swings and currently we are looking at a solid profit of 73.92 points. <br />I mentioned in <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/10/preparing-for-malta.html" target="_blank">the last blog post</a>, that Muxor and me enjoyed a part of our profit with a short vacation in Malta at the end of October. Here are some pictures (Click on images to enlarge):</p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGDe-_DzI/AAAAAAAABaw/xLewX2_5edM/s1600-h/SAM_1049%5B5%5D.jpg" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto" title="SAM_1049" alt="SAM_1049" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGD_OONUI/AAAAAAAABa0/PdS90hLEtTI/SAM_1049_thumb%5B3%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="276" height="207" /></a><font size="1">Our Private Extra-Large Terrace</font> </p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGEuzD-gI/AAAAAAAABbA/p1SkF3EkDWg/s1600-h/SAM_1089%5B5%5D.jpg" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto" title="SAM_1089" alt="SAM_1089" src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGFZKCz7I/AAAAAAAABbE/ybHgUGajt1I/SAM_1089_thumb%5B3%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="276" height="207" /></a> <font size="1">Looking for a speed boat to hire</font></p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGFzPMwpI/AAAAAAAABbM/2eFjIP2y8dk/s1600-h/SAM_1109%5B5%5D.jpg" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto" title="SAM_1109" alt="SAM_1109" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGGXDoYAI/AAAAAAAABbQ/lOkhukGjp-c/SAM_1109_thumb%5B3%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="276" height="207" /></a> <font size="1"><a href="http://www.westinmalta.com/" target="_blank">The Westin Dragonara Resort Malta</a> – Our Hotel</font></p> <p></p> <p align="center"><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGGxhmRaI/AAAAAAAABbg/3XCwghMNCUY/s1600-h/SAM_1136%5B5%5D.jpg" target="_blank"><img style="display: block; float: none; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto" title="SAM_1136" alt="SAM_1136" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TPJGHiB_mZI/AAAAAAAABbk/meK8dLiF2Xw/SAM_1136_thumb%5B3%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="276" height="207" /></a><font size="1"> Blue Lagoon – View from the speed boat</font></p> <p>We really enjoyed the trip to Malta. This was our first big reward we had from our betting and I am hoping for more of that.</p> <p>The move into my new flat is already done, but there are still things to work on.</p> <p>Today only a meeting in Kempton takes place, so I will have some time to work on the next article of the series “Creating A Betfair Bot With C#”.</p> <p>That’s it so far. Have a nice Sunday!</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-28748479646786062882010-10-27T10:58:00.001+02:002010-10-27T11:00:44.387+02:00Preparing for Malta<p>Hi folks,</p> <p>last few months have been fantastic. Manual version of HorstBecker performs really great. I am twittering (does this word exists??) the results on a daily bases. It is really comfortable to publish a small statement rather than writing a blog post. I can do it with my mobile, too. <br /><a href="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TMfqOuIP5rI/AAAAAAAABaI/GatUi-RYb9Y/s1600-h/malta-blaue-lagune-3%5B8%5D.jpg"><img style="margin: 10px 10px 0px 0px; display: inline" title="malta-blaue-lagune-3" alt="malta-blaue-lagune-3" align="left" src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TMfqO6HXxKI/AAAAAAAABaM/iv6ytgMweL4/malta-blaue-lagune-3_thumb%5B6%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="212" height="251" /></a> </p> <p>Next week I will start moving in my new flat. A lot of work to do, but before Muxor and me will have a short vacation in Malta. Weather will be great and much better than in Germany. I will post some photos and I am sure it will be really exciting.</p> <p>I have not forgotten my blog series about the bots. I think I can finish it after my move.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-78610264007064896292010-09-26T10:28:00.001+02:002010-09-26T10:28:59.030+02:00Busy Times<p>Hello,</p> <p><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TJ8ESS_DZcI/AAAAAAAABZs/jICPucn4Z2k/s1600-h/Busy-Guy%5B3%5D.gif"><img style="border-bottom: 0px; border-left: 0px; margin: 10px 10px 0px 0px; display: inline; border-top: 0px; border-right: 0px" title="Busy" border="0" alt="Busy" align="left" src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TJ8ESjDRu5I/AAAAAAAABZw/UcWN44uawG0/Busy-Guy_thumb%5B1%5D.gif?imgmax=800" width="263" height="207" /></a> Sorry for not posting that often on the blog at the moment. I know there are a lot people out there waiting for the next blog post of the betting bot series. <br />Currently I have not enough time for anything. I am working on a job change and I am preparing for moving in a new flat. Really busy times at the moment. <br /> <br />Cheers, Loocie </p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-17273505650257292392010-09-05T08:55:00.001+02:002010-09-05T08:55:21.170+02:00Summary August 2010<p>Hello,</p> <p>Today I will give a small update about how I am progressing at the moment. <br />Currently I have not much time to write in detail about my betting, because I have a lot to do at work. <br />However, I am still progressing with the semi automated version of HorstBecker. Finding the <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/07/bug.html" target="_blank">bug</a> I mention earlier was really helpful. </p> <p><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TIM-1tvQV2I/AAAAAAAABZk/sMGOiwHLEFg/s1600-h/august_20103.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="august_2010" alt="august_2010" src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TIM-2FheAAI/AAAAAAAABZo/s5v1aaUYJLg/august_2010_thumb1.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="249" /></a> </p> <p>August produced a total profit of <strong><font color="#00ff00">305.59</font> </strong>points!! This was the first month where I made more money from betting than money I get from work. <br />A few days ago I also checked the source code of the full automated version of HorstBecker and the <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/07/bug.html" target="_blank">bug</a> was also present. I fixed that, but we need to wait for end of September to see if this will improve results or not.</p> <p>I am also still working on the next section of the series “<a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">Creating A Betfair Bot With C#”.</a> It is not yet finished, but hopefully I will get some time to finish work on that.</p> <p>That’s it so far.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-88869609904684192462010-08-23T23:38:00.001+02:002010-08-23T23:38:54.932+02:00Betfair Bot: Environment/Setup<p>Hi folks,</p> <p>here is the first blog post of the series “<a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/08/creating-betfair-bot-with-c.html" target="_blank">Creating A Betfair Bot With C#</a>”.</p> <p>This section will give some information about the environment and setup of our work. This section is not a tutorial about using the presented tools, because there are also other tools available and giving a complete overview of all developer tools would cost too much time.</p> <p><u>Hardware Environment:</u> <br />There is no special hardware required. Make sure you are using a computer with Microsoft Windows. I started working on the bots under Windows XP and now I am working under Windows 7.</p> <p><u>Software Environment:</u> <br />I am working with <a href="http://www.microsoft.com/visualstudio/en-gb/products/2005-editions" target="_blank">Microsoft Visual Studio Professional 2005</a>. <a href="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/THLqapX2mZI/AAAAAAAABY0/ylQEW6LPmxc/s1600-h/vs_screenshot4.jpg" target="_blank"><img style="display: inline" title="vs_screenshot" alt="vs_screenshot" src="http://lh3.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/THLqbmzS1tI/AAAAAAAABY4/AnuTL7I31wg/vs_screenshot_thumb2.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="239" /></a> I am sorry, but my version of Visual Studio is in German and I can not change the language so far. If there are any questions feel free to ask.</p> <p>Visual Studio is not only a code editor. It has also a forms designer which let you create windows user interfaces via drag and drop, which saves you a lot of time. </p> <p>An alternative for Visual Studio might be <a href="http://www.microsoft.com/express/Windows/" target="_blank">Microsoft Visual Studio Express</a>. I must admit I do not have any experiences with VS Express, but I am sure there are many tutorials out there about this tool.</p> <p>You also need to have Microsoft .NET Framework installed on those computers you are running your bot. When installing Visual Studio I think the framework is installed too. But if you want to run your bot on another machine, maybe a Virtual Private Server, make sure that the framework is installed. To download the framework just visit Google and enter “.NET Framework”. You will get a lot of results for downloading. It is free to use.</p> <p>Generally my bots are using local databases. Therefore I am using <a href="http://www.microsoft.com/sqlserver/2005/en/us/compact.aspx" target="_blank">Microsoft SQL Server Compact 3.5</a>. This is an embedded database, which means you will have a single database file with file extension SDF. You can use this database like a common and well known database like Oracle or MySQL. The advantage is you do not need to care about database management handling like table spaces and user privileges etc. You just need to create your database tables and save your data. <br />It is really easy to use. You can save your matched bets and prices of single selections for tracking etc. <br />I am using the database for saving matched selections, so I can start and stop my bot without losing data, because they are stored in my local database. If those data are only available in memory in variables an objects I would lose them if my bot crashes or if I would stop the bot. It is not required, but it is really helpful.</p> <p>When using Microsoft SQL Server Compact 3.5 you need to be able to have a look at your SDF files. I am doing this via <a href="http://www.flyhoward.com/SDF_Viewer.aspx" target="_blank">SDF-Viewer</a>. You can also use Visual Studio for that, but for me it is much more comfortable to use SDF-Viewer.</p> <p>Today’s section did not help much about getting really in touch with Betfair, but I think it is necessary to give an overview which tools I am using. If there is anybody also working on betting bots feel free to add your thoughts and comments about the tools I am using and also about the tools you are using which are not mentioned in this blog post.</p> <p>The next section “Basic Functionality” will handle all the stuff I am using for logging, data management (database), settings and bot handling. We will also see how I am organising my bot projects, which will help us to use the same source code easily in another bot again without recoding the same stuff again and again. At the end of the next section we will have our first self created software. We will be able to start and stop the bot, create logging entries, we will use registry settings and we will get in touch with threading and event handling.</p> <p>That’s it so far. <br />If there are any comments or questions feel free to drop an email or leave a comment.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-61082181009124648832010-08-17T10:23:00.001+02:002010-08-23T23:39:29.763+02:00Creating A Betfair Bot With C#<p>Hello,</p> <p><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TGpHGgcD9SI/AAAAAAAABYs/ssCxEjOaaaY/s1600-h/programmierer_binary%5B5%5D.gif"><img style="margin: 15px 10px 0px 0px; display: inline" title="programmierer_binary" alt="programmierer_binary" align="left" src="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TGpHHC9T_1I/AAAAAAAABYw/OegH-YOsuB0/programmierer_binary_thumb%5B3%5D.gif?imgmax=800" width="191" height="207" /></a> I get many emails from readers about my betting bots. I think it is clear that I can not give too many details away how the bots are working. If I would do that I will lose the small edge I might have, but I know there are people out there having a strategy in mind, but they have troubles to get them working, because they can not sit down in front of a computer day in day out.</p> <p>I want to publish a series of blog posts about how to get the Betfair API stuff working. The aim is to create a basic framework of a betting bot, which means a betting bot with the following features:</p> <ul> <li>Login/Logout </li> <li>User Interface with market details </li> <li>Debug logging </li> <li>Database connection </li> <li>Betfair API functions (get prices, etc) </li> </ul> <p>The series will contain the following sections:</p> <p><a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/08/betfair-bot-environmentsetup.html" target="_blank">1. Environment and Setup</a></p> <p>2. Basic Functionality</p> <p>3. Betfair API I</p> <p>4. Betfair API II</p> <p>5. Final Thoughts</p> <p>I will update the link to each section, if it is published. At the end of every section I will provide the current progress of the bot as a download of a Visual Studio 2005 project, so you can play around.</p> <p>I will not go too much into technical detail, so it might be helpful to have some experience with software development. You should know the common program flow controls like “the for loop” etc. If you are not familiar with it, try this tutorial</p> <p><a href="http://www.blackwasp.co.uk/CSharpFundamentals.aspx" target="_blank">C# Tutorial</a></p> <p>I will more concentrate on the “higher technical aspects” like multi threading or event handling, because I get many emails from people struggling with it and having a bot with freezes from time to time.</p> <p>This series will be far away from being professional. I taught myself how to work with C# and Visual Studio, so feel free to give helpful comments for me and all the other readers, if there is something not that correct or if you have an idea how to do some things easier or faster.</p> <p>This series will not create a bot you can use and make a lot of money just by running it. For demonstration I think we will implement a simple strategy, but right now I have not a certain strategy in mind.</p> <p>That’s it so far. Currently I have not yet a time schedule when to publish the blog posts. I hope I can finish one post per week.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-76128567788904664202010-08-12T18:47:00.001+02:002010-08-12T18:47:53.597+02:00Still Here<p>Hello,</p> <p>a long time since the last blog entry. I am sorry, but at the moment I do not have much time to write about my betting stuff.</p> <p>As mentioned so often, I do not want to bore you every day with figures how much I lost or won.</p> <p>I totally stopped manual trading on Betfair. No tennis, no football, no Formula 1. <br />I concentrated on working on the betting bots and it seems there is an edge for me. The semi automated version of HorstBecker is running really well at the moment. I had a really long run of up and downs before I identified a <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/07/bug.html" target="_blank">bug</a> in the source code. I am really glad I found it, because results changed a lot in my favour with the new version of the software. Currently I am up for this month 152 points!</p> <p>That’s it so far. Will keep you updated!</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-90202055604023508532010-07-27T09:46:00.001+02:002010-07-27T09:46:15.401+02:00Bug<p>Hello,</p> <p>not many updates this month so far. Summer has arrived and I try to avoid spending time in front of the computer.</p> <p>However, I am still doing the selections and this month has been a bad one so far.</p> <p><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TE6OwcIiA9I/AAAAAAAABYk/YMpedDQo5A8/s1600-h/bad_month%5B3%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="bad_month" alt="bad_month" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TE6Ow-I60hI/AAAAAAAABYo/26WFuOuVHNQ/bad_month_thumb%5B1%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="257" /></a> </p> <p>Currently we are facing a loss of 7 points, but as you can see there has been a big down swing. </p> <p>We investigated the selection process again and we identified a bug in the software. Resolved the problem. </p> <p>Still a few days to get back into profit zone. Will update again at the end of the month.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-65852667221070831992010-07-08T22:29:00.001+02:002010-07-08T22:29:32.524+02:00Germany – Spain 0:1<p>Hello,</p> <p>I am not in the happiest mood, because yesterday we lost the semi final of the World Cup 2010 against Spain. </p> <p>I am not disappointed, I am sad that our team could not perform their best. Spain won the match well deserved and I hope they can win the Cup on Sunday.</p> <p>I also want to mention that I am proud of our team: They gave us so many great moments and if we lose against a better team we need to accept that.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie </p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-28892863525085162482010-07-04T11:10:00.001+02:002010-07-04T11:10:29.468+02:00Argentina – Germany 0:4<p>Hi,</p> <p>what an incredible match it was versus Argentina! It is hard to describe what I am feeling right now. It feels a little unreal, but it is cool :) </p> <p>I watched the match in the same location I watched the match versus England and again it was amazing! What a really stunning performance from Germany and I am so happy we made the semi final again.</p> <p>It is great to see, that it does not matter if you have a few super stars in your team like Messi, Ronaldo, etc. Football is still a team sport and if you play as a team you can beat every other team which only relies on the performance of their super stars.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-56039798547748826212010-07-01T10:04:00.001+02:002010-07-01T10:04:55.420+02:00June Roundup<p>Hello,</p> <p>June is over and I will take the time to give an update how I did.</p> <p>The semi manual HorstBecker produced a total profit of <strong>64.74</strong> points, which is ok.</p> <p><a href="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TCxMJD2Ib2I/AAAAAAAABYc/GHTuVUpAocI/s1600-h/june_graph%5B3%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="june_graph" alt="june_graph" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TCxMJkGl6SI/AAAAAAAABYg/VX65wDMDAcM/june_graph_thumb%5B1%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="257" /></a> </p> <p>After <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/06/update.html" target="_blank">last months performance</a> I expected to get more out of it, but I can not complain.</p> <p>I am progressing on the football value system. The database model is already created and I will start coding the other components and the user interface. I am not yet sure if I will create an AJAX based application or a common web site, because the aim is to make the web based system available for mobile devices, too. So it can be used without having a laptop or pc available. This month I bought a <a href="http://www.htc.com/www/product/hd2/gallery.html" target="_blank">HTC HD2</a> mobile device which is a great device. I like the idea to get a notification via email or SMS from the system when new selections are available and place the bets via mobile device.</p> <p>I will keep you updated.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-70272338105009585762010-06-28T11:35:00.001+02:002010-06-28T11:35:24.749+02:00Germany – England 4:1<p>Hello,</p> <p>what a great match it was…for Germany! <br /> <br /><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TChs1xWQyqI/AAAAAAAABYQ/yiGCRpQr8Fk/s1600-h/IMAG0024%5B2%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="IMAG0024" alt="IMAG0024" src="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TChs2R2L26I/AAAAAAAABYU/NEhR1W1ykSY/IMAG0024_thumb.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="148" /></a> </p> <p>I know we have some blog readers from the United Kingdom and I know it is brutal to see the own team losing…but I think it is worth to mention the incredible win against the Three Lions.</p> <p>To be honest, yes, the shot from Lampard was a goal and the score had to be 2-2. Is this poetic justice, is this the reverse Wembley goal? The question is simple: It does not matter! The far better team won the match well-deserved. <br /> <br />I watched the match in a beach area and the atmosphere was amazing:</p> <div style="padding-bottom: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; float: none; padding-top: 0px" id="scid:5737277B-5D6D-4f48-ABFC-DD9C333F4C5D:6c375520-8f2b-4ad3-8366-509e9910d9b5" class="wlWriterEditableSmartContent"><div id="2ac789c9-d7eb-42f1-a3c5-4521a2526fca" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: inline;"><div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nveXbcYpRpQ" target="_new"><img src="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TChs29DpHNI/AAAAAAAABYY/egRmF_c-FSU/video1e3e565e14ae%5B3%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" style="border-style: none" galleryimg="no" onload="var downlevelDiv = document.getElementById('2ac789c9-d7eb-42f1-a3c5-4521a2526fca'); downlevelDiv.innerHTML = "<div><object width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/nveXbcYpRpQ&hl=en\"><\/param><embed src=\"http://www.youtube.com/v/nveXbcYpRpQ&hl=en\" type=\"application/x-shockwave-flash\" width=\"425\" height=\"355\"><\/embed><\/object><\/div>";" alt=""></a></div></div></div> <p></p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-52895282692147822272010-06-20T11:38:00.001+02:002010-06-20T11:38:27.029+02:00Shaky Month<p>Hello,</p> <p>Sunday morning, a good time to do a proper blog post. The FIFA World Cup 2010 is underway and I watched many boring low scoring games. Is the vuvuzela sound the reason for having such boring uneventful matches? Hopefully the final group stage matches will bring some more excitements.</p> <p>What’s up on the horse betting bot front? June has been a shaky month so far.</p> <p><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TB3hkHmc1kI/AAAAAAAABYI/yt7oEYlnc2Q/s1600-h/horse_bot%5B3%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="horse_bot" alt="horse_bot" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TB3hkplc3OI/AAAAAAAABYM/HVJ7m-o74NA/horse_bot_thumb%5B1%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="256" /></a> </p> <p>Currently the semi automated HorstBecker is 34 points in profit. I expected Royal Ascot to give the month a boost, but it did not. At the moment not a huge profit compared to <a href="http://layyourself.blogspot.com/2010/06/update.html" target="_blank">last months stunning performance</a>, but still a profit. There are many “services” out there which would be happy to claim a monthly profit of 34 points or more, so I can not complain.</p> <p>At the moment I am working on a football value betting system. I have the whole system including the technical aspects detailed in my mind and today I started creating the database model. I am sure this system can be used by many people, because there is so much liquidity available, so I will create a web based system for that. I am not sure if it will be available for everybody or just for a closed group, not yet decided. The first step is to get it running until the new football season starts. This means a lot of work, but I will keep you updated how I am progressing.</p> <p>That’s it for now. Have a nice Sunday!</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-59248198830112900442010-06-06T12:27:00.001+02:002010-06-06T12:27:49.335+02:00Update<p>Hello,</p> <p>now I have the time to do a proper blog post about what I have done in the world of betting during the last few weeks. </p> <p>I stopped concentrating on trading live sports event. I am not progressing as expected, so I decided to spend my time on working on the betting bots.</p> <p>HorstBecker and LaylaCheval are currently running in simulation mode. The results have not been that consistent as expected. </p> <p>I created a semi automated version of HorstBecker and the results are stunning so far. It made 334.29 points profit in May. </p> <p>I also created a bot which trades inplay horse races. Currently it is running in simulation mode and collecting data, but looks also very promising. </p> <p>At the moment I am working on my central tracking platform to create automated reports about the results and stats of the betting bots work, so I hope soon I can publish some more detailed information how the bots perform.</p> <p>That’s it so far. Later Soderling will play Nadal in the final of French Open 2010. Hopefully it will be an exciting match.</p> <p>All the best,</p> <p>Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-8005997317777553542010-05-29T08:00:00.001+02:002010-05-29T08:00:10.906+02:00Stopped Trading<p>Hello,</p> <p>a long time since my last proper blog post. Much happened this month, so I think it is time to give an update.</p> <p>I have decided to stop my personal trading on sport events. Currently I am not able to make a decent return on the time I am spending trading tennis or something else. Most of the action takes place during the day when I am at work and there is too much distraction, so often I am not concentrated at all. I also did not develop the confidence I think I need to have. So currently I have to admit, that manual trading does not work for me.</p> <p>But this is not the end of the blog. I still have another iron in the fire: The bots.</p> <p>I will write something about the bots in the next blog post, but will give you a promising insight with this screenshot:</p> <p><a href="http://lh6.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TACtaAjtAZI/AAAAAAAABYA/ievjcJF5l9E/s1600-h/bots_manual%5B2%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="bots_manual" alt="bots_manual" src="http://lh5.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/TACtai7uinI/AAAAAAAABYE/5dGmW7a7Kjs/bots_manual_thumb.jpg?imgmax=800" width="404" height="207" /></a> </p> <p>It shows the pl figure in points of one of the bots for May.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-90603617650249472952010-05-27T13:21:00.001+02:002010-05-27T13:21:56.162+02:00Still Here<p>Hi,</p> <p>just want to let you know I am still here. Will give an update in a few days.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3426199802422320624.post-88979886916121176972010-05-01T10:55:00.001+02:002010-05-01T10:55:22.120+02:00Analysis of April 2010<p>Hello,</p> <p>it has been quiet during the last few weeks. I did not write anything about my trading, because at the moment I do not have any interesting stuff to say and I do not want to repeat the same again and again.</p> <p>However, I traded some sports events, so let’s have a look how I did:</p> <p><strong><font color="#ff0000">Horse Racing: -€84.54</font></strong> <br />Worst month for the lay selections so far. I decided to stop it for a while. I will restart the selections again, but have not yet decided when to do that. <br /> <br /><strong><font color="#ff0000">Motor Sport: -€11.00</font></strong> <br />Just a small bet on the winner market of the China Grand Prix, which did not work out. I am really sad about the new rules of the season, because now there is not much activity in the fastest lap market like last season. Maybe I have to skip this sport. <br /> <br /><strong><font color="#ff0000">Soccer: –€21.93</font></strong> <br />Currently I am testing a few ideas with small stakes, so nothing to worry about. <br /> <br /><strong><font color="#00ff00">Tennis: €67.97</font></strong> <br /><a href="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/S9vsd8Q1W6I/AAAAAAAABX4/_68MX5zSKCM/s1600-h/tennis_graph%5B3%5D.jpg"><img style="display: inline" title="tennis_graph" alt="tennis_graph" src="http://lh4.ggpht.com/_wukHKNDyegQ/S9vseZCDYZI/AAAAAAAABX8/8SszxoCVN2Y/tennis_graph_thumb%5B1%5D.jpg?imgmax=800" width="410" height="220" /></a> I love trading tennis and I hate trading tennis. Will it every work for me? <br />I don’t know how much I wrote about trading this sport, but maybe it was way too much. <br />After the first down swing of the tennis trading in April I took a break and tried to erase all of my “knowledge” and of course all of my prejudices about the sport and about the odds movement. Then I tried to trade the matches with intuition. That means I used various stake sizes, depending on how confident I was about the trade. I also placed some bets based on value. The value investing concept is simple: Just place a bet or start a trade if the odds are wrong. Therefore you have to deal with losing runs, but that is just a matter of money management. The problem with the concept of value investing is how to estimate the true value of a bet. On long term your results will tell you, if your selections offered value or not. <br /> <br /><strong><font color="#ff0000">Total P&L:  -€49.50</font></strong> </p> <p>Another month of learning the hard way. The funny thing is I already wrote about those issues before, but it is quiet different to know the facts and to be aware of them. <br />I know the facts, now I need to be aware of them.</p> <p>Cheers, Loocie</p> Loociehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06175837555825720900noreply@blogger.com4