2009-07-31

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-07-31    14:30    Bangoor    TALIMOS 4th

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Talimos (BSP: 1.87) finished the race 4th and we could add another profit to the pot. I will give an overview of all selections of July during the next days.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-30

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-29

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-28

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-07-28    14:45    Good    HARBINGER 1st

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Harbinger won the race, so we lost our stake. I got matched at 3.3 (BSP: 4.4). Losses are inevitable, when betting on value selections. Still in profit for the month, so we are looking for the next opportunities tomorrow.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-27

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

A Tough Race

Hello,

Yesterday I traded the Grand Prix of Hungary. Here is an overview how I did:

f1_hungary 
It was really difficult to trade the fastest lap market. At the beginning many drivers had the fastest lap, so I stayed away. I recognized that Vettel was involved in a collision, so I put on a small lay on him. Did some other trades, too, but did not get matched with the whole amount I wanted.

I also had a look at the Podium market and put in some small trades. This race was not easy, but I think I did it right. If there is not a good opportunity, just stay away.

I am still trading on tennis, but the last two weeks just small tournaments took place and I did not get involved. That’s it so far. Will post later for possible lay selections on the horses.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-26

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-25

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-24

Betting On The Greyhounds

Hello,

today I want to show you a video about betting on the greyhounds. Have a look:

I am really impressed. He uses techniques of Neuro-linguistic programming, which is a powerful tool also for traders and punters. But more in a legal way. So you can use techniques of NLP to avoid psychological traps.

Cheers, Loocie

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-23

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-22

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-07-22    15:10    Worc            SWEET AS PYE 3rd
2009-07-22    17:00    Ling (AW)    ROCK RELIEF 5th
2009-07-22    20:15    Sand            BURGUNDY ICE 2nd


NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Wow! I am really impressed! Not too much about the result of today, but more about how exciting horse racing can be! I watched all races via Betfair Live Video and the race 20:15 in Sandown was incredible! Burgundy Ice was well in front, but then Romany Princess, a few lengths behind, slalomed(maybe wrong grammar) during the whole field and got the win. Crazy!

I got matched at the following odds:
SWEET AS PYE @4.8 (BSP 5.90)
ROCK RELIEF @3.30 (BSP 3.0)
BURGUNDY ICE @3.85 (BSP 3.85)

A nice profit so far and the patience during the last few days, when I had no selections paid off.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-21

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-20

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-19

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-18

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-17

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-16

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

2009-07-16    19:35    Donc    STAKES    TOUCH TONE   6th

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Another profit added to the pot with really nice odds. I got matched @2.48 (2.25 caused by a non runner), BSP was 2.24, so a really nice profit for us.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-15

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-07-15  15:30  Catt             HANDICAP  INGLEBY LADY 3rd
2009-07-15  19:20  Kemp (AW)  STAKES   MAGIC LANTERN 2nd

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Both selections did not win. Ingleby Lady (BSP 4.45) finished 3rd and Magic Lantern (BSP 7.32) finished 2nd. I was lucky and got matched on Magic Lantern @ 4.9, but most of the money was matched above 5.0, so this horse does not count as a selection.
We returned into profit. That’s good news.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-14

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-13

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-12

Trading Fastest Lap Market

Hello,

german_gp
Today I traded the fastest lap market. Produced a decent profit with just 20EUR stake sizes. I am loving it :)

Cheers, Loocie

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-11

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-10

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

2009-07-10    16:30    York    STAKES    KRIS KIN LINE 7th

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Kris Kin Line finished 7th and we added another profit to the pot :)

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-09

Anyone Created a Bot Before?

Hello,

robot1 Did you try to create a bot for Betfair already? Anyone who did knows it is hard work. At the moment I am developing the Pre Race Horse Racing Analyzer which has already turned into a trading bot. This bot needs to collect data to determine when to enter and exit the market to make consistently profit.

I am working on the Baseball Matcher too, a software which will help me to get matched at the best prices for the Baseball selections I mentioned earlier. Baseball takes place mostly during the night in Europe, so I need to have an application, which will back and lay the given selections for me.

Generally I do not want to complain. I just want to let you know, that it is hard work to get such a software up and running, because you need to implement every little detail you can imagine. Things and thoughts human beings are doing can not be done by a bot easily. You need to implement every possibility, every little detail.

That’s it for now. I am tired.

Cheers, Loocie

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-08

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-07-08    14:10    Ling    HANDICAP    CORAL SHORES 7th
2009-07-08    14:55    Catt    HANDICAP    URSULA 5th


NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update:
Both selections were beaten well. That’s the way I like it. We are still negative for July, but I am pretty sure we will get further selections to turn the month into profit.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-07

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-06

Value in Baseball (2)

Hello,

Today I will give an update of the Baseball betting. Earlier I mentioned, that it might be possible to identify value bets on sports like baseball, where you have many games during a season with lots of statistical data available. I only punted on the given selections on paper (actually Excel) to see, if it could be profitable or not. Here is an update of the selections:

Number of total matches: 661
Number of selections: 114
Number of back selections: 78
Number of lay selections: 36

Number of bets won: 68
Number of bets lost: 46
Strike Rate: 60%

Number of back bets won: 48
Number of back bets lost: 30
Strike Rate back bets: 60%

Number of lay bets won: 20
Number of lay bets lost: 16
Strike Rate lay bets: 56%

Fixed Unit Staking
Total Profit/Loss: +15.44 points
Total Profit/Loss back bets: +7.97 points
Total Profit/Loss lay bets: +7.47 points

Weighted Staking
Total Profit/Loss: +30.88 points
Total Profit/Loss back bets: +14.73 points
Total Profit/Loss lay bets: +16.15  points

Average winning back odds (back bets): 1.79
Average winning lay odds (lay bets): 1.85

graph_baseball 
It looks really promising so far. Next step is to create an application to match the bets automatically. I have already started to develop this application, but it will take some time. It is a lot of work.

Cheers, Loocie

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-05

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-04

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

2009-07-04    14:15    Bev    MAIDEN STAKES    ELECTIONEER

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Update: Electioneer won, so not a good start for us in July, but there is no need to worry. We will be back on winning track very soon.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-03

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections again.
Last month I had seven days in a row without a selection. It is not unusual, so we need to be patient again.

NB. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-02

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections again.
Patience is the key :)

NB. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-07-01

Federer vs. Haas semi final preview

Roger Federer and Tommy Haas will reprise their French Open meeting in the Wimbledon semi finals and if there is half as much tennis betting drama this time around as there was at Roland Garros, punters are in for a treat.

Haas squandered a two-set and a break in the third advantage in that match as Federer battled his way to a historic 14th Grand Slam title. It was his best Grand Slam performance since his quarter final appearance at the 2007 US Open and confirmed the injury troubles that blighted him throughout 2008 are behind him.

He took his recovery to the next level at the Gerry Weber open at Halle, winning his first tour title since February 2007. It proved he could win tournaments on grass and persuaded me to follow him at Wimbledon.

Haas beat Novak Djokovic in the final at Halle and with the Serbian the top seed in his quarter at the All England Club, I fancied Haas to win his quarter. Despite some nervous moments in the third round against Marin Cilic, the bet paid off.

Federer, as ever, is another level. The five-time winner was clinical in dealing with the big-serving Ivo Karlovic in the last eight and it is easy to think that if Haas couldn’t beat Federer on the clay of Paris, he certainly will not on grass.

The Swiss legend leads their head-to-head record 9-2 and has won their last seven meetings, although Haas can take heart from the fact their two grass meetings, at Halle in 2005 and 2006, were tight. Haas has turned himself into a serve-and-volleyer over the last two weeks but facing Federer might bring a change of plan, as he likes nothing more than a target at the net to unfurl his passing strokes against.

Federer will surely win but a 3-1 scoreline could provide value. Haas won a first set tie-break in their Paris meeting despite not winning a point on the Federer serve until that point and will not be daunted by the pressure of the occasion.

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selection:

No selections.

NB. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie