2009-10-31

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-30

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-29

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-26

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

Additional Information:
I am out of office for the next two days, so next possible selections will be on Thursday.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-25

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-25    16:30    Aint      GRANDS CRUS  9th

Update:
The run continues and we are currently at a winning streak of 5 selections in a row. GRANDS CRUS (BSP: 4.10) was well beaten and the profit grows.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-24

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-23

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-23    13:40    Ayr    BALIERUS  7th

Update: I got matched @2.92 while Betfair starting price was 3.35.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-22

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-21

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-21 14:20 Worc     SILVER KATE  5th

Update: SILVER KATE finished 5th. I got matched at 4.1 pre race while Betfair starting price was 4.06.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-20

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-19

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-18

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-17

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-17    14:40    Chelt    PICTURE THIS Non Runner

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-16

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-15

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-15    16:20    Ludl           BRETT VALE 9th
2009-10-15    20:00    Wolv(AW) GRAYMALKIN 4th


Update: Have a look at the data:
BRETT VALE: Matched @2.56(reduced to 2.37 because of a non runner), BSP: 3.01
GRAYMALKIN: Matched @3.6 (BSP: 2.53)
We had 7 days without a bet, but our patience paid off.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-14

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

Betfair Premium Charge

Hello,

Here you can see my current Betfair premium charge statement:

pc
I am not yet affected, but if I will have another profitable week like last week, then it could happen, that Betfair will decrease my pre-allowance.

So I assume soon I will be one of the official 0.5% of the Betfair users which have to pay this “Premium” charge.
Yeah, I am so special!  - Ridiculous!

I know there are ways to reduce this charge, but I thought I have more time to work on that.

I am a good example that also non high rollers have to pay this charge.

I am just a small fish, don’t grab my money, Betfair!

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-13

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

It is really difficult to identify good laying opportunities at the moment. There is no need to force bets, so we will save our money.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-12

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

Good Results

Hello,

Here is an overview of the trades of last week:

American Football: €20.21
After a bad last week Stock Lemon came back with a 3-1 record. It is always good to come back with a profit after a heavy loss. I am looking forward to next week.

Horse Racing: -€6.33
The lay selections seem to struggle a little at the moment. It is difficult to identify so called false favourites. This month’s strike rate is only 50%. October is not yet over, so I hope there will be some further selections to turn the lay selections into profit.

Soccer: €20.90
It is not usual for me to bet or trade on soccer, but Germany’s odds of 3.2 against Russia was a risk of a tenner worth. I think it was huge value. I expected Germany to be favourite. It was a gift. Thanks for that.

Tennis: €20.83
The good run on tennis continued. I traded on 17 matches, winning on 6 matches, losing on 6 matches and scratching on 5 matches. I traded every matches with a stake of €20.00. I am using a simple low risk strategy and it seems to pay off.

Total P&L: €55.61

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-11

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-10

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-09

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-08

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-07

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-07    15:20    Extr    ORCHARD KING 5th
2009-10-07    16:20    Extr    COOL FRIEND 1st

Update:
Non runner on both races. Heavy rain changed the going, so this might be a reason, but it is not an excuse. That’s racing!
At the moment it is difficult to identify good laying opportunities. Will see how it develops.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-06

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-05

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

Mixed Results

Hello,

Last weekend was full of sport events and I invested on the following events:

American Football: -€39.95
Stock Lemon had a forgettable weekend with 4 losers. It can happen and I am not angry with that. I am looking on the long term. We will fight back. Maybe next weekend.

Formula 1: -€7.14
Trading the fastest lap market as usual was not possible. No liquidity in-play. I had a look at the following markets:

  • Motor Sport / Japanese GP : Winner -4.20
  • Motor Sport / Japanese GP : Qual Rd 3 - Top 10 5.36
  • Motor Sport / Japanese GP : Overall Qual. Winner -8.30

The market “Qual Rd 3 - Top 10” looks really interesting. There are some really nice odds available. The Formula 1 season is nearly over with just two race ahead, but I will have a look at this market next weekend in Brazil, too.

Tennis: €45.72
Wohoo! I can still do it! Changing my mind about how to trade tennis seems to help me. Have a look at the markets I traded on:

  • Tennis / Medina Garrigues v Lu : Match Odds  0.00
  • Tennis / Martinez Sanchez v Wozniacki : Match Odds 13.51
  • Tennis / Peer v Makarova : Match Odds  -2.80
  • Tennis / Safina v Vinci : Match Odds -2.80
  • Tennis / Kirilenko v K Bondarenko : Match Odds 1.33
  • Tennis / Kuznetsova v Zheng : Match Odds 14.92
  • Tennis / Cirstea v Zvonareva : Match Odds -2.60
  • Tennis / Dushevina v V Williams : Match Odds 0.04
  • Tennis / Rezai v Wozniak : Match Odds 6.55
  • Tennis / Azarenka v Li : Match Odds 17.57

What has changed with my trading so far? It may sound weird, but I do not take a stop loss anymore! When you lay a player at 1.2 I can not see any reason why I should take a stop loss at 1.1 or something else. That’s what I did in the past. All the three losses from the matches above came from laying at low odds. All in all I lost –8.60 on those three matches. When trading on Martinez Sanchez v Wozniacki I laid Wozniacki at 1.27 pre match and at 1.13 in-play. The up swing is huge and the down swing is small. I recovered all the losses and more to make a profit on those 4 matches.

Another thing I am doing is to let my winnings run as much as I can. In the past I cut my losses too early and too often.
I know I do not tell you something new about trading. You may have read the same phrases again and again in other trading blogs. I know all these things too, but I needed to make my own experience with that. I think it is the same if you say a child “Do not touch the cook top, it is hot! You will burn your fingers!” It may touch the cook top and burn the fingers, but it will not do this anymore. The child has learned from experience. Therefore I am really glad I am making those experiences on low stakes compared to other traders.

A small loss for the weekend, but I am feeling really good and confident about getting on the winning path soon.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-04

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-03

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

No selections.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-02

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-02    13:25    Newm    TABASSUM  1st

Update:
TABASSUM won the race. I got matched at 3.0 while Betfair starting price was 3.61. A non runner reduced my liability, so my loss was a little lower than usual.

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie

2009-10-01

Lay Selections

Hello,

laying_horses
Today’s selections:

2009-10-01    14:35    Newm    BRANNAGH 3rd

Update: BRANNAGH finished 3rd. I got matched at 4.4. Pre match the price drifted to a Betfair starting price of 6.67. Good start into October!

NB. All selections are lay selections. Only lay the given selections, if the odds are less or equal 5.0. If the price is greater than 5.0 it is not a bet. I recommend to take the early odds and a maximum liability of 5% of your bank roll on each given selection.

Cheers, Loocie