2012-04-27

Value Betting Tool

Hello folks,

long time since my last blog post. I am still doing fine on the horse racing betting front. I am not resting on my laurels so I am always looking for other betting systems, too.
I did a lot of research and I analyzed different tipster services to get an idea of their selection process.

For me, a value better, it was really surprising that a lot of them published their selections the evening before the day of racing.
At that time most of the bookmakers did not have offered prices on the races, except for the big meetings, so how could they determine
if a horse is a selection?

When I analyzed historical data I tried to create a rating for every horse in every race. This rating is converted into fair odds, so these fair odds represent the true chance of the horse winning the race.
If now a bookmaker offers higher odds than the fair odds the system calculated, the selection is marked as a bet.
So there are days with many selections and there are days without any selection.

From my observations of the horse racing markets I realised very soon that a lot of odds moving takes place in the space of time between 11:00 - 12:00 BST. So this is the time my new system is working in.

How does it works:
Every day in the space of time between 11:00 - 12:00 BST I log into my system and wait to get the bets highlighted. If the system
marks a horse as a bet I am placing the bet as suggested. If the bookmaker already lowered the price I skip that selection.
I am using stakes of EUR100.00 so this one hour is really busy for me, because I need to get matched at the suggested price.
Mostly I have to split my stake on various bookmakers.
When I am in UK I always place bets at the shops. Easy as that.

If you are interested just have a look at

http://www.valuebettingtool.com

Please sign up with bonus code "layyourself". Just add bonus code "layyourself" in sign up message and you will get a subscription discount of 10% every month.

Have a nice weekend!

Cheers, Loocie

2012-02-12

It´s ALL about the odds, NOTHING else matters

Hi,

Today I found an interview from 2009 with a pro gambler. Check this out:

An Interview With Pro Gambler Russell Clarke

He won't tell you his betting secrets, so no need to be disappointed. Nobody ever will give his edge away for free or low cost, but if you want to have an interesting read about a pro's mindset, give it a go.

Cheers,

Loocie

2012-01-26

Free Lay Opportunity

Hi,

trading on tennis can offer some great opportunities. Todays semi final of Australian Open between Feder and Nadal offered such a situation. When Feder was 3-0* up with a single break he traded at 1.28/1.29 which is quite the odds at the end of the set. When Federer won the 1st set 7-6 he traded at 1.31/1.32.



Even if you did not green up you still did not lose money.
Be prepared for those opportunities.

Cheers, Loocie