Today, on day six of the Sony Ericsson Open, I made the following trades.
First we started to try Loocies new strategy in laying favs around 1.3.
Started with the match:
Nicolay Davydenko - Simone Bolelli
Layed Davydenk prematch and greened up after him loosing the first set.
Bets for the match:
Lay Davydenko 35€ @ 1.31
Back Davydenko 15€ @ 1.90
Back Davydenko 5€ @ 1.99
Profit: 7,60€ (+70,37% ROI)
Bolelli didn't use his chances in second set.
Result: Davydenko won 6-7, 7-5, 6-1
Update 1 and second match to cover:
Svetlana Kuznetsova - Shahar Peer
Backed Kuznetsova prematch and layed out half of the risk after she won the first ste in tiebreak. I expected her to win first set easier, so I took a higher odd to lay. When she was leading in second set I greened up.
Result: Kuznetsova won 7-6, 6-3
Bets for the match:
Back Kuznetsova 10€ @ 1.58
Lay Kuznetsova 5€ @ 1.25
Lay Kuznetsova 5€ @ 1.05
Lay Kuznetsova 4€ @ 1.01
Profit: 4,26€ (+42,6% ROI)
Update 2:
Had to suffer one major loss in the match
Sabine Lisicki - Elena Dementieva
Layed Lisicki after loosing the first set and after beeing braked in second set. Thought she could make second set tighter... Wrong though, wrong decission.
Result: Dementieva won 6-3, 6-2
Lay Dementieva 100€ @ 1.1
Lay Dementieva 180€ @ 1.05
Loss: 19€ (-100% ROI)
Update 3:
Last match for me today
Mikhail Youzhny - Nicolas Almagro
Backed Youzhny when leading 1-0. He went straight forward to 4-0, but then chocked and could only win first se in tiebreak. Lucky me. Layed him after winning the set.
Bets for the match:
Back Youzhny 20€ @ 1.55
Back Youzhny 10€ @ 1.36
Lay Youzhny 10€ @ 1.29
Lay Youzhny 20€ @ 1.25
Lay Youzhny 3.53 @ 1.81
Profit: 3,84€ (+12,8% ROI)
Players still on court. Try to make winning each way now as soon as possible.
As this match is completely open and unpredictable right now, I decided to take at least the now possible 10% ROI each way and leave it till the end. Youzhny also seems to have an injury on his shoulder.
In a very close tiebreak, Youzhny could save the victory after Lamagro was already serving for the match, leadin 5-4.
I am still confident with my decission to make winning each way also at high odds, as both players could have won this match.
Result: Youzhny won 7-6, 3-6, 7-6
So the day was not so profitable like the last two days. Leaving a small loss of about 4,50. But if everyday would work like the last two days, i could quit my dayjob. So looking forward to the next matches.
Sain bisu,
Muxor
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