I am cutting my winnings

Hello,

during this week I opened an account on Betdaq. I took the Betdaq New Free 25 Offer. From now on I have a backup exchange, if Betfair crashes.

I will also take Betdaq for my soccer trading. Very often I get better odds on Betdaq than on Betfair.

Here is an overview of my last trades:

Trading Tennis

Mathieu v Andreev -9.70
Kohlschreiber v Youzhny 11.65
Petrova v Mokh -1.50
Kiefer v Nalbandian -2.93
Ferrer v Kohlschreiber -4.82
Andreev v Simon 5.00

Total Loss Tennis: -2.30

Trading Soccer

Aachen v Rot-Weiss Ahlen 0.00
W Bremen v Leverkusen 5.34
Kaiserslautern v Osnabruck -0.90
Bochum v Hoffenheim 21.85

Total Profit Soccer: +26.29

Overall Stats:

Total Profit this month: +38.35

My tennis trading is still not very good. To many side steps. Yesterday I recognized that I cut my winnings too much.

I traded the match Andreev v Simon. Odds on Simon pre match: 1.65. Andreev lost first set 3-6 and was leading 4-1 in 2nd set. Odds on Simon 1.65-1.7. I backed Simon @1.65, because Andreev was leading with only one break in front and odds on Simon would not move very much, if Andreev wins the set. The only thing I had to do was waiting for the end of the second set. If Andreev wins the set I have to take the stop loss (estimated odds on Simon if he loses 2nd set 1.85) and if Simon wins 2nd set I would have made a nice profit. I used a stake size of 17€ to win 11€.
Let's do a little calculation:

Pre match odds on Simon: 1.65
Odds on Simon when score was 6-3, 1*-4: 1.65
Odds on Simon, if he loses 2nd set: 1.85

Scenario 1: Simon loses 2nd set

Taking stop loss at 1.85 produce an each way loss of -1.84€.

Scenario 2: Simon wins 2nd set

Profit: 11.00€

So I was risking 1.84€ to win 11.00€.

When you look at the figures above you see I made only 5.00€ because I made it too early each way.

So I was risking 1.84€ to win 5.00€. It is crazy!!

It is good that I see my mistakes, but I need to start avoiding them.

Cheers, Loocie

Side Steps

Hello,

here is an update of my last trades:

I am still not happy about my Tennis trading. I traded 11 matches, won on 6 and lost on 5 matches. Generally I count matches as 'scratched' when the pl is between -3€ and +3€, so I won on 4, lost on 3 and scratched 4 matches. I do not want to make an analysis here, but it is a fact, that my losses are too high or my wins are too small. I think I cut my winnings more than my losses, maybe I am sometimes too careful. I will investigate this issue deeper in my analysis of October. That's it for now.

Stats so far:

total profit this month: +€4.52

Cheers, Loocie

Mixed Bag

Hello,

here is an update of my last trades:

Since the last blog entry I made the huge amount of 2ct!! Incredible!!!!! A small profit is better than a huge loss, so I can not complain. The good thing is I stuck to my money management rules which helped me to stay in profit, but more important now it is easier for me to analyse my trades in detail. For example the match Gasquet vs Fish was a non-method trade, i.e. I put on a trade without having identified a trading opportunity. I had also two matches where I took my intended stop loss too late (Petrova v Pennetta and Verdasco vs Cilic). If I can avoid these mistakes, I can make some decent profits according to my stake sizes. During the last few days I have also recognized that I have to adjust my trading spots. Some of them only work when several criteria are matched.

That's it for now. Will update later this week.

Stats so far:
total profit this month: +€11.19

Cheers, Loocie

Tennis and Soccer Today

Hello,

today I traded the following matches:

Trading Tennis

Jankovic v Dementieva

Pre match odds: Jankovic 1.71, Dementieva: 2.38

I expected a close match. Both players were in a good shape. I fancied Jankovic to win, but I also knew she played many matches during the last few weeks, so she was a little tired. I had several trades, took stop losses, when necessary and greened up. It was not easy to trade this match, but finally I could make a small profit.

Jankovic v Dementieva 6-0, 1-6, 0-6

Zvonareva v Safina

Pre match odds: Zvonareva: 2.46, Safina: 1.67

I expected Safina to win. Both players were in a good shape and I expected a close match. I was not trading well. I took my intended positions too late and so I had to take stop losses in every trade. When score was 3-3 in the second set I stopped trading and accepted my loss.

Zvonareva v Safina 6-2, 7-6

Trading Soccer

Germany v Russia

Pre match odds on Germany: 1.80

It is not often that Germany lose a match at home. Captain Ballack was back in team and I fancied Germany to win this match. Germany had a good start and I backed them 10€@1.85. Just a few minutes later Podolski made the first goal and score was 1-0. I minimized risk by laying Germany @1.32. Later I made it each way.

Germany v Russia 2-1

Stats so far:

total profit today: +€0.24
total profit this month: +€11.17

Kind regards, Loocie

Patience Pay Off

Hello,

today I traded the following matches:

Dementieva v Petrova

Pre match odds: Dementieva: 1.73, Petrova: 2.36

I expected a close match. Both players were in a good shape and H2H statistic was 5-5. I expected Petrova to take at least one set, but if she serves well she could also win the match.

I had some trades, but nothing paid off. I always had to take the stop loss except one trade in the 2nd set: I layed Dementieva 25€@1.4 when score was 4*-4 0-30 and Dementieva was serving. Petrova made the break and also took the set and I made it each way. The profit is not massive, but the process, the way I traded was very good. I followed all my rules and on the long term it will pay off.

Dementieva v Petrova 6-4, 4-6, 7-6

Zvonareva v Cibulkova

Pre match odds: Zvonareva: 1.23, Cibulkova: 5.30

Zvonareva was clear favourite. Both players met never before, so I was cautious during my trades. I took some good positions but again nothing paid off. I missed one trading opportunity, but could catch up another chance to reduce my interim loss of -5.22€ to nothing. All in all a scratched trade.

Zvonareva v Cibulkova 7-5, 6-4

Santoro v Mathieu

Pre match odds: Santoro: 3.50, Mathieu: 1.39

Santoro was leading the H2H statistic 3-2, on indoor hard court H2H was 1-1. Mathieu was in a good shape. He played a good tournament in Metz, but during the match vs Stakhovsky he had an injury timeout because he had blisters on his feet. I had this in my mind and followed the match. Santoro had a good start and in the middle of the first set I took a position on him. When he won the first set I minimized risk by laying him. Later Mathieu retired and I made a nice profit.

Santoro v Mathieu 6-3, 3-2 retired

Jankovic v Pennetta

Pre match odds: Jankovic: 1.27, Pennetta: 4.60

Jankovic was clear favourite for me. She was leading the H2H 4-0 and is already in a good shape.

During this match I took two positions on Jankovic. I had to scratch the first one, but the second paid off and I could make a profit.

Jankovic v Pennetta 7-6, 6-3

Stats so far:

total profit today: €11.09
total profit this month: €10.83

My readjustment seems to pay off. During the last few days I am more focused on making good trades rather than making a certain profit. I am trading patiently like never before.

Cheers, Loocie

Trading Tennis

Hello,

today I traded the following matches:

Petrova v Wozniacki

Pre match odds: Petrova 1.45, Wozniacki 3.20

Petrova was favourite. She played at home and Wozniacki suffered from a cold. I had two trades, but both ended in a loss. I took the stop losses and followed all my rules, so it was a not a bad trade.

Petrova v Wozniacki 6-4, 3-2 by Retirement

Nishikori v Hrbaty

Pre match odds: Nishikori 1.70, Hrbaty 2.44

At the moment I apply a rule only to get involved in a match if there plays a top 25 player of WTA or ATP, but I also have a look at all the newcomers on the tour.

Nishikori seemed to have a knee injury, so his price moved from 1.4x to 1.7 pre match.

Nishikori won the first set easily 6-1. After he lost the second set 1-6, I backed Hrbaty 17€@1.9 because I was expecting a retirement of Nishikori. He only had an injury timeout and when they started the 3rd set I scratched the trade.

Nishikori v Hrbaty 6-1, 1-6, 7-5

Makarova v Pennetta

Pre match odds: Makarova: 3.25, Pennetta: 1.45

Pre match Pennetta was favourite. She had a good match against Venus Williams two days before. I expected her to win.

From the start Pennetta was serving badly. Match was not easy to trade. I took several positions, but nothing paid off. At the start of the second set I could close my position with a small win, because Pennetta was still serving badly. The good think was I recognized early, that she did not improve and I closed the trade. I was not hoping for a break in my favour. If there is no opportunity, then get out as soon as possible.

Generally I should be more cautious, if players play the first time each other.

Makarova v Pennetta 6-3, 4-6, still playing while typing this

Stats so far:

total loss today: -€1.96
total loss this month: -€0.26

Some side steps today. I took positions but nothing paid off. But for all that I am satisfied of the way I traded all the matches. I followed all my rules and was patient. If I can keep up the way I am actually trading until the end of the month I am confident it will be a profitable month for me.

Cheers, Loocie

Best Trading Day So Far

Hello,

today I traded the following matches:

Wozniacki v Chakvetadze

Pre match odds: Wozniacki 1.62, Chakvetadze 2.54
Wozniacki is in a good shape and she was favourite. Chakvetadze was playing at home so I knew about her motivation to win this game.
Chakvetadze had a good start and was leading very soon 1-4* with odds on Chakvetadze 1.37. This was a great opportunity to lay, because odds would not move very much lower if she wins the 1st set 6-1. Wozniacki made a break and odds on Chakvetadze moved to 1.78. I missed that opportunity, but I was patient and did not force a trade like I did it in the past too often.

Chakvetadze won 1st set 6-2. When she made an early break and was leading 1*-0 odds on her dropped to 1.13 and I laid her 25€@1.13, because it was only an early break. Wozniacki made a re break and I created a risk free bet on Wozniacki. When she won the second set I made it each way.

Wozniacki v Chakvetadze 2-6, 6-1, 6-4

Stakhovsky v Mathieu

Pre match odds: Stakhovsky 3.5 , Mathieu 1.4

Mathieu was favourite, but I know he can be very unstable during a match. When score was 2*-3 for Mathieu I layed him 25€@, because his serving stats were bad.

During the break after this 5th game he had a foot treatment and odds moved to 1.59 and I backed him 10€@1.59 to minimize risk.

When score was 2*-3 15-40 I scratched that trade.

Stakhovsky v Mathieu 6-3, 6-2

Mauresmo v Safina

Pre match odds: Mauresmo 5.00, Safina 1.24

Mauresmo leads the H2H 4-1 and the H2H on indoor hard 2-1 against Safina. I was confident Mauresmo could take a sat, but the victory should be with Safina.

Generally I do not like to oppose the favourite too often, but when score was 2*-1 for Safina I layed her 25€@1.12 because I expected Mauresmo to give a good fight. She really did and won the 1st set in the tie break and I made it each way.

Mauresmo v Safina 7-6, still playing while typing this

Almost a perfect day of trading. I followed my plans, stuck strictly to my rules and missed only one trading opportunity.

Stats so far:

total profit today: +14.09€

total profit this month: +1.69€

All the best!

Cheers, Loocie

Trades Of Today

Hello,

I traded the following matches:

Errani v Azarenka

Pre match odds: Errani 5.9, Azarenka 1.2

Azarenka was in a good shape so she was clear favourite. I was a little in doubt about her back injury. She had one or two injury timeouts during the tournament in Stuttgart. Azarenka had a good start and won 1st set 6-1. Her odds dropped to 1.03 and I layed her 25€@1.03.

I entered a order to back Azarenka 12.50€@1.06 to have a free bet of 12.50€ on Errani and nothing to lose on Azarenka.

Errani fought back and won 2nd set 6-4. I made it each way and had a small profit. this 1.03 was a little too low, so I took this position, because I knew about the injury of Azarenka.

Errani v Azarenka 1-6, 6-4, 6-3

Wawrinka v Petzschner

Pre match odds: Wawrinka 1.21, Petzschner 5.7

Wawrinka was favourite for me. Petzschner is a good player on indoor hard, so I had to be cautious. Wawrinka won 1st 7-6.

When score was 4-1* for Petzschner in the second set there was a back of 1.43 for Wawrinka available, more than twice the number of the pre match odds and Petzschner was only one break in front. I backed Wawrinka 25€@1.43. Sadly it did not pay off, so I took a stop loss.

Wawrinka v Petzschner 7-6, 2-6, 6-7

I followed other matches too, but there was no trading spot for me. All in all I am satisfied with the trades of today. I followed all my rules and was patient. A small loss today, but I am pretty sure, the way I am trading during the past few days will pay off soon. 

Stay lucky!

Cheers, Loocie

Update of my last trades

Hello,

during the last few days I made the following trades:

Trading Tennis

Dementieva v Azarenka

I started the trading with a stupid loss. I was trading the first set only with the hope of a service break. Before the tie break of the first set was played I had a loss of -3.75. During the tie break I started to gamble. What a mistake. Both players made many receiving points and their percentages of serve was equally.

During the first games in the second set I was indecision about how the match could develop and I made complete stupid decisions. Should have stopped the trade.

Dementieva v Azarenka 6-7, 6-3, 1-6

Li v Petrova

Na Li had a big fight against Serena Williams, so she could have been a little bit tired. Petrova seemed in a good form. She only lost against Schnyder in Bali and against Safina. Petrova leads the h2h with 5-0. Pre match odds: Li 3.84, Petrova 1.85.

I backed Petrova 20€@1.6 when I saw her serving very well. Na Li had problems with this serve and Petrova won this match comfortably.

Li v Petrova 2-6, 3-6

Zvonareva v Jankovic

I expected a close match. Both players are in a good shape and they had a tight match against each other in Beijing.

When score was 3-3 30-0 and Jankovic serving I backed 20€@1.67. When she was leading 5-3 and serving for match I laid off to have 4.90€ each way. During the second set I made a huge mistake. I laid Jankovic at 1.6, which was a big price for backing her, because her pre match odds where 1.62. I could scratch that a little bit and lost only a few cents.

Zvonareva v Jankovic 6-7, 6-7

Petrova v Azarenka

Petrova was clear favourite for me. She played really well yesterday and was serving very good. Azarenka had a good but long match against Dementieva and she was also playing the double tournament in Stuttgart, so maybe she was a little bit tired. She also had a injury timeout during the match vs Dementieva. I backed Petrova 10€@1.7 pre match.

Petrova had a good start and was leading 4-0 and I laid off to have a 4.12€ profit each way.

I entered again, but this was not a good opportunity. Took the stop loss, but most of the profit was already wasted. Petrova won the first set 6-4 and I backed her again @1.26. She broke Azarenka and I laid off. I had some quick trades, but mostly I scratched them.

Petrova v Azarenka 6-4, 6-4

V Williams v Jankovic

I had some trades during the first set, but could not make a profit and I made it each way before the tie break. That was a good decision, because trading in tie breaks is mostly gambling.

Later in the second set and made a stupid trade and had a loss of 8 or 9€. This loss came from not taking a trading position and I could not accept this mistake I made. I put more money in and finally I lost 18€.

Generally, I have no problem with taking a stop loss, I only have a problem with it, when I make some silly mistakes. Then I can not accept the loss and try to force this trade into a profit. Therefore I have to learn to stop doing these silly mistakes like throwing a profit away or chasing for possible service breaks.

V Williams v Jankovic 7-6, 5-7, 2-6

Petrova v Jankovic

That was well traded. I took stop losses when necessary and I have only a small loss.

Petrova v Jankovic 6-4, 6-3

Tursunov v Mathieu

Tursunov v Mathieu 7-6, 1-6, 6-4

I backed Tursunov when he was 2-0 behind in the second set. It was an early break and odds on Tursunov @1.65. Pre match his odds was 1.66, so a good trading opportunity. The Russian tanked the 2nd set and I had to take my stop loss. Was not a bad trade. I followed all my rules and I am sure it will pay off in the next matches.

Mauresmo v Cornet

Pre match odds: Mauresmo 1.57, Cornet 2.7

Mauresmo was favourite for me. She leads the H2H 2-0 and Cornet seems to be not in form. Maybe she is just tired from a long season.

Cornet served first. When score was 0-0 40-40 I backed Mauresmo 10€@1.51. Cornet made the game and an early break, so score was 2*-0 Cornet. I laid Cornet 5€@1.99. Mauresmo fought back and I laid Mauresmo 5€@1.51.

When score was 2*-2 and Cornet was serving there was a 1.3 Lay Mauresmo available. This would have been the perfect odds to take out the risk, because if Mauresmo would win the 1st set, odds would have been 1.2. I did not take out the risk so I had to scratch the trade with a Lay Mauresmo 10€@1.7 when Cornet was leading 4-3* and Mauresmo was serving. Cornet won the 1st set 7-6 and I laid her 25€@1.46. Great value it was! Stats of both players were equal, so there was a high chance of a 2nd set win by Mauresmo. When score was 2-1* in the 2nd set and Cornet was serving I backed her 10€@1.7 to minimize risk. When score was 2-1* 15-40 there was at least a 2.0 Back Cornet available and this would have been the perfect situation to eliminate the risk and make it each way. Again I didn't made the order, so later when score was 2*-2 0-30 and Mauresmo was serving I had to scratch the trade.

Good: I identified two good trading spots and I took the stop losses when necessary. I recognized early, that I had to close the first trade @ 1.3, but I accepted the mistake and concentrated further on trading the match.

Bad: I did not close the trade, when there was the perfect situation for.

Mauresmo v Cornet 6-7, 6-3, 6-4

Cibulkova v Bartoli

Laid Cibulkova 25€@1.31 after winning the first set. Bartoli made a break and was leading 1*-0 in the first set, backed a small amount back.

When score was 1*-0 0-30 I scratched the trade.

Cibulkova v Bartoli 6-1, 4-1 retired

Trading Soccer

Stuttgart v Bremen -€2.00

Trading NFL

Seattle @ NY Giants -€0.74

Stats so far:

total loss this month: -€11.42

My last trades of Tennis were better. I was patient and took the stop losses when necessary. My cheat sheet helped me to stay focused. Also my new money management rules let me stay in a trade without having fear.

I am interested how my trading develops with this new rules.

Cheers, Loocie

Analysis of September 2008

Hello,

today I will do my analysis of September 2008:

Trading Tennis

number of matches I traded: 37
number of wins: 18
number of losses: 19
scratched trades: 0

number of wins > 3€: 10 
number of losses > 3€: 7

total win: +74.68
total loss: -69.96
total pl: +4.72 

average win: +4.15
average loss: -3.68
average pl: +0.13 

win rate: 49%
max win: +11.15
max loss: -13.81

Again not a result I am very happy with. Not because of the small win, but more because I made so many mistakes:

I did not do any research before a match. I used different stake sizes and I made stupid decisions and forced trades.

So, how to change this:

Actually, I have created a cheat sheet for trading tennis with all my rules and dos and don'ts, so I can have a look at this sheet when trading tennis.

During this month I did not use the same liability in every match and this makes it difficult to measure my trading.

Trading soccer

number of matches I traded: 15
number of wins: 9
number of losses: 6
scratched trades: 0

number of wins > 3€: 6 
number of losses > 3€: 0

total win: +27.16
total loss: -10.99
total pl: +16.17 

average win: +3.02
average loss: -1.83
average pl: +1.08 

win rate: 60%
max win: +5.39
max loss: -3.00

A good result, but not perfect. I do not mean the profit, but rather the way I traded soccer. I had some wrong trades and made some avoidable mistakes.

I know there are only two or three key events during a soccer match, so if you are not prepared and you force a trade, you can lose your money very soon.

That is the problem I have sometimes when trading tennis: I know there can be many swings and flip flops, so I am too often hoping for the next swing in my favour.

Trading Formula 1

This month I learned it the hard way what can happen, if you do not take a stop loss.

The loss during the Italian Grand Prix was too massive to recover it with other trades. I was not focused on the bigger picture, I was focused on the actual battle I had.

total loss trading Formula 1: -€46.47

Trading NFL

I traded 4 matches and scratched two of them. With only 4 matches it is not 100% reliable how I can trade this sport, so I have to wait and see next month what is it about.

total profit trading NFL: +€9.91

Trading Ice Hockey

I had only one trade and made a profit. It is also not reliable. Will see, if I can trade other matches and we have to see how it will develop.

total profit trading Ice Hockey: +€4.09

Overall there is a loss in September 2008: -€11.57.

Only one trade destroyed a possible good trading result for this month. I am happy that I was able to reduce the loss, but all in all I need to learn accepting losses.

I recognized I have a problem with a loss, if I made stupid mistakes. Even if I enter a match when there is no trading spot and I recognize it, when the trade goes against me, then I can not accept the loss. I try to correct the mistake within the same situation (mostly with over staking), but this is not possible. Actually I am still a beginner in sports trading and I am still making mistakes. I have to accept that and should not force something. How can I learn from these mistakes (taking a position when there is no trading opportunity) when I make other mistakes (over staking), which cover the underlying mistake?

To accept making mistakes I must not have fear when trading. I have fear when I use too high stakes. So my stake sizes I defined in my analysis of August 2008 are way too high.

Actually, I have not found the best money management rules for me. But it is quite ironic that I write something about money management into my dos and don'ts, but I do not follow them by myself:

"Manage your risk by trading with the right size stakes.
This is very important and depends on 2 things - the price of the selection and the size of your trading bank."

My actual stake sizes does not depend on those two things, so it is time to change that. I have worked out the following table (bankroll 119.50€):

My actual bankroll is €119.50 so I do not risk more than 20% on every trade.

Stake size is only one part of risk management. Another part is taking stop losses. I think there are different kinds of stop losses:

• Stop loss during a trade
• Maximum loss limit per event
• Maximum loss limit per day

The stop loss during a trade is something you have to define before you put on a trade. This can be a price of a selection or a score during a match.

Actually, I have not a maximum limit per event or day defined, so I will do that now. This should help me to see the bigger picture and not to over stake during a match or a day.

Maximum loss limit per event: 10€ (~8% of bankroll)
Maximum loss limit per day: 25€ (~20% of bankroll)

I am not sure, if these figures are perfect, but now I have rules which should prevent me from losing more than I can accept and when I think about these figures then I can say these are amounts I can accept as a loss.

I am sure this is not my last change of stake sizes and loss limits, but now I have rules and limits, which should help me to see the bigger picture. Any comments, tips or ideas are much appreciated.

Overall stats:

September 08: -€11.57
August 08: -€7.74
July 08: +€29.10
June 08: +€25.90
May 08: +€1.36
April 08: +€25.27
March 08: +€3.08

I had also some trades during the last few days. I will update them later in the evening or tomorrow.
All the best with trading!

Cheers, Loocie

Tennis again and again

Hello,

today I traded the following matches:

Zvonareva v Bartoli

Zvonareva was clear favourite for me. She was leading 4-1 the head to head statistic and played really well their last matches. She is currently in a good form. I backed her with 10€@1.4 pre match with the expectation of an early break. The game develop as predicted and I could make some profit.

Zvonareva v Bartoli 6-2, 6-0

Petrova v Schnyder

This match was not easy to predict. Petrova reached two consecutive semi finals in Bali and Tokyo. In Bali she lost against Schnyder in straight sets. Finally, Schnyder won the tournament.

Schnyder was also in form. Yesterday she won against Kuznetsova, but maybe she was a little bit exhausted after this three setter against Kuzzy.

Market was also unstable during the first games of the match. Both player served well, but in the 7th game Petrova won the service game of Schnyder.

Her the stats after the break:

There was a high probability of a 5-3 lead by Petrova so I backed her 20€@1.7. From this point on the match developed in my favour direction and I layed Petrova 10€@1.35 after she won the 1st set. Later I made it each way.

Petrova v Schnyder 6-4, 6-1

Stats so far:

total profit today: +€11.68

total profit this month: +€13.87

Wish you all the best with trading!

Cheers, Loocie

Today tennis again

Hello,

today again very much action on tennis courts. I traded the following matches:

Nishikori v Garcia-Lopez

Actually, I have decided to get involved into matches only, if there is a player involved who is top 25 of ATP or WTA, but this trade had such a great value, I had to do this.

Pre match odds on Nishikori 1.5. He won the first set comfortably 6-4. During the second set he had very good statistics on his serve. I entered the market when Garcia-Lopez was leading 4-3 and 30-0 and Nishikori was serving. The first point in the game was a double fault, so Garcia-Lopez made only one point. With his impressive serve stats I was confidently he could win this service game. If not and if he might lose the second set odds had been something like 1.5-1.6 on Nishikori. Well, he made the game and won the match. I greened up.

Nishikori v Garcia-Lopez 6-4, 6-4

Zvonareva v Hantuchova

Pre match Zvonareva was clear favourite for me. She played really well her last matches. Hantuchova has not really recovered from her injury at the beginning of the year. The only doubt I had about Zvonareva was that she played many matches in the last few weeks.

I do not know why I changed my mind on the match and layed Zvonareva, when she lost her service and score was 2-3 and Hantuchova serving. I minimized risk, but let some green on Hantuchova.

That's really annoying: I had a plan for the match, but I did not followed it, so more the worse I traded completely contrary to my plan.

Zvonareva v Hantuchova 6-3, 6-2

Schnyder v Kuznetsova

Pre match odds: Schnyder 2.82 , Kuznetsova 1.54. I expected a close match. Schnyder played really well in Bali and won the tournament. Kuznetsova seems a little bit tired and next week she will play in Russia, so maybe she would take this tournament not very serious.

I layed Kuznetsova early, when she struggled a little bit, but I got only 10€ matched. Later in the second set I had the feeling Kuznetsova can come back and so I closed the trade and made it each way. Paid off.

Schnyder v Kuznetsova 6-4, 4-6, 7-5

Azarenka v A Radwanska

Pre match I backed Radwanska 5€@2.02. I think I underestimated Azarenka. Pre match I expected a close match, but even odds pre match on a top 10 player seemed too high.

Azarenka had a good start and was leading 2-0 and odds on her around 1.5. I layed Azarenka and she lost her service game, so score was 2-1. When score was 2-1 and 30-15 for Azarenka I scratched the trade. When Azarenka was serving for match I layed her for a reason I do not know. Was pure gambling and totally stupid.

Azarenka v A Radwanska 6-1, 7-5

Stats for today:

total profit: +€2.19

Not a huge profit, but still positive. It's a pity that I wasted money in the Zvonareva v Hantuchova match. It is not the loss which makes me angry, it is the way I traded this match: completely contrary to my plan for the match. 

That's it for now.

Cheers, Loocie