2010-02-04

In the Wrong Place at the Wrong Time

Hello,

a quite week so far on the trading front for me. Did not yet traded a single event this week. Did a lot of work on the betting bots. Muxor and me converted all the historical data from LaylaCheval and HorstBecker from the excel sheets into our MySQL database.

Let’s have a look at some key facts:

HorstBecker

Number of racing days: 97
Total P&L in points: +88.56 pt
Max Daily Loss: –38.34 pt
Max Daily Profit: +51.85 pt

hb_total 
The data are calculated with a 1 point level stake per selection.

We started putting money on the selections nearly the highest level of the profit. The good thing is that it is still in profit, but we need to apply some filters. Actually I have not yet done all the analysis work, but so far it is quite interesting that there are some courses which are not profitable, for example Southwell produced a loss of -72.05 points, Lingfield produced a loss of -51.07 points , but Kempton produced a profit of +51.92 points and Carlisle produced a profit of +36.41 points.

Once the analysis of all the data is done and all filters are defined I will give it another try with putting money on it.

LaylaCheval

Number of racing days: 118
Total P&L: +206.56 pt
Max Daily Loss: –47.05 pt
Max Daily Profit: +65.72 pt

lc_total 
The data are calculated with a 1 point level stake per selection.

The same here again. We started putting money on the selections at the peak of the graph. All over it is in profit, but the down trend right after we entered was too heavy. Here is an overview of some of the courses P&L for LaylaCheval:

Southwell: -40.88 pt
Lingfield: -15.79 pt
Kempton: +34.72 pt
Carlisle: +21.41 pt

It is quite obvious that there are some courses which are negative for both bots and some are profitable for both bots.

Conclusion

So what’s the conclusion of all the numbers?
First, there is something going in the right direction with both bots. The results are promising, but not yet the way I like it.
Second, I need to identify some reliable filters to maximize the profit and to protect the bank roll from a bad run.

That’s it for now.

All the best, Loocie

2 comments:

Ben Aitken said...

Interesting that Southwell produces losses on both bots. I think both traders and bettor struggle at the track. Difficult to get an angle possibly.....

Loocie said...

Hi Ben,

Thanks for dropping by.
I am a little surprised, too. I will do a full research on this issue.

Cheers, Loocie