The Good Run Continues

Hi,

during the last few days I traded the following match:

Kanepi v JankovicI entered the market late in the 2nd set. Kanepi was leading 4-0 in the 2nd set and then Jankovic fought back, but when Kanepi scored to 6-5*, I made it each way, because Jankovic could only force a tie break and I do not like to gamble during a tie break. However, Jankovic lost her service game and Kanepi won in straight sets.
Actually, that is the difference to my trading a year ago: I expected Jankovic to turn the match, but this did not happened, so a year ago I would have made a loss or at least no profit, but now I am in the situation to make a profit, even if the match does not develop totally in my desired direction.

Kanepi v Jankovic 6-2, 7-5

I also watched other matches too, but I could not identify any good opportunities, so I stayed away.

Stats so far:
Total profit since last update: +11.23
Total profit this month: +121.38

Cheers, Loocie

On The Right Path

Hello,

 
what to say about trading tennis these days? It really works and I am on a very good run this month. I am very patient and disciplined, when trading these days.

During the last months mostly I wrote about what I did wrong and what I could improve, but these days there is no reason to write about mistakes because I did not make mistakes.

The most important thing now is to have a constant trading performance.

I traded the following matches during the last few days:

Morita v Hantuchova +15.81
Razzano v Safina +0.74
Sugiyama v Bartoli +20.51
A Radwanska v U Radwanska +0.38

It is not only the profit, which makes me happy, it is more the way I traded these matches. I was always looking at the bigger picture and did not chase any profits in a single match. I hope the good run will last a long time. It is all up to me.

Stats so far:
Total profit since last update: +37.44
Total profit this month: +110.15

Cheers, Loocie

Lots Of Trades

Hello,

it was a quite busy week with lots of trades in tennis and soccer and here is an overview of my trades:

Trading Soccer I was really upset about the loss of Germany against Norway. I backed Germany pre match @1.5 and was quite confident about Germany to win this match. However, they lost and I lost money, but I would back them again at these odds, because I think it was value.

Total loss trading soccer: -23.25

Trading Tennis I trade 16 markets with 8 successful trades and 5 losses. I made one bigger mistake in the match A Bondarenko v Schnyder where I took my intended stop loss too late.

Overall I am quite happy about the way I am trading tennis these days.

Total profit trading tennis: +35.42

Stats so far:
Total profit since last update: +12.17
Total profit this month: +72.71

Cheers, Loocie

Trading Tennis And Soccer

Hello,

during the last few days I traded the following matches:

Bolelli v TroickiI can not remember the trade in detail, but I missed a trading point at the beginning of the first set, but I was patient and identified another trading point and my patience paid off.

Bolelli v Troicki 3-6, 4-6

Chardy v Ferrer
The set betting market offers many opportunities. Often you get crazy prices matched. I created this risk free opportunity during the 2nd set, when Chardy fought back and match stats were relative equal. I let it run and made a nice profit.
My maximum liability during the trade was –4.50.

Chardy v Ferrer 1-6, 7-6, 7-6

Aachen v Rostock
I watched this match live and Rostock played really well so I layed Aachen @2.16. A few minutes later Rostock scored. I made it each way, but I think again it was too early. Even if Aachen would equalize I could made a small profit, because odds would not move lower than 2.16.

Aachen v Rostock 3-3

No mistakes during this week so I am very happy with the profit.

Stats so far:
Total profit since last update: +43.68
Total profit this month: +60.54

Cheers, Loocie

Australian Open 2009 Men’s Final

Hello,

today we saw the men’s final of the Australian Open 2009 and I traded the match odds market and the set betting market:

Federer v Nadal

Pre match odds: Federer: 1.65, Nadal: 2.56
I really like the set betting market, which provides good opportunities in best of 5 matches. I took an opportunity early in the first set which paid off.

In the match odds market I layed Nadal, when he was leading 2-0 in the 2nd set. The trade paid off and I could make it each way, when Federer won the 2nd set.

I am really disappointed about Federer’s loss against Nadal. Federer was not concentrated during the final set, so I think he threw the match away.
There was no need to lose the match.

Federer v Nadal 5-7, 6-3, 6-7 (3-7), 6-3, 2-6

Stats so far:
Total profit today: +16.86
Total profit this month: +16.86

Later this evening I will have a look at the Super Bowl XLIII. Maybe I can identify an opportunity to make some profit.

Cheers, Loocie

Analysis Of January 2009

Hi,

January is over now, so it is time to do the analysis.
Here is an overview of the profit per sport:

• Tennis: +€32.77
• American Football: +€1.39
• Winter Sports: -€5.77

I had two trades, where I made big mistakes:

Tennis - Wozniacki v Dokic:
I did not see the bigger pictures, when the trade went against me. I could not accept the loss and lost more than I could afford.

Winter Sports – Men’s 10 km Sprint: Winner - Fastest Time:
I traded with too high stakes in a market, I was not very comfortable with and I did not take a stop loss, when necessary.

I am a little disappointed about the small profit I made during January, but when you do beginner’s mistakes and lose the view for the bigger picture, then you do not deserve it to make more money.

Not a great start into the trading year, but still a profit. I need to concentrate on my exit strategy and on the bigger picture during a single trade.

My new stake sizes:


Overall stats:
Year 2008: +€156.48
January 2009: +€28.39

Cheers, Loocie

Tennis Set Betting

Hello,

I am feeling better, but I am still recovering from my shingles. I did not traded any matches during the day session, but I had a look at the matches during the night session and here is an overview:

Nadal v VerdascoPre match odds: Nadal: 1.17, Verdasco: 6.80 
I am not a friend of trading best of 5 matches, when one player is a heavy favourite. The match odds market does not provide many opportunities to put on a trade, so I decided to have a look at the set betting market, which is a market with good liquidity during grand slam tournaments. I had several trades and could lock in a nice profit. I will have a look at this market in the future grand slam tournaments.

Nadal v Verdasco 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-4

I also traded the men’s final, but I will update later, because this match took place during February and I will do the analysis of January first.

Stats so far:
Total profit last Friday: +5.08
Total profit January: +28.39

Cheers, Loocie